Kom Podgorica vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
2º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
73.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kom Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
KOM
3 - 0
BOK
40%
28%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
KOM
3 - 1
FKC
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
KOM
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKM
1 - 2
KOM
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
KOM
2 - 1
FKA
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
MLJ
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
OUL
4 - 3
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
DEC
4 - 0
OUL
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
OUL
2 - 0
FKD
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
OUL
3 - 2
LOV
29%
27%
45%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |