Kolubara vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
8º
8º
8º
39
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
38 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
41 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolubara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
JAV
2 - 0
KOL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 3
FKS
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MNS
1 - 0
KOL
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
MLA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
FKS
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 2
RAD
38%
30%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 0
CRV
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
RAD
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MLA
0 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 0
FKS
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |