Kolstad vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FBG
4 - 1
KOL
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ROS
0 - 3
KOL
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VFC
0 - 3
KOL
52%
20%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 3
TFC
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ORK
5 - 2
KOL
31%
21%
49%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NAR
4 - 4
IFC
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 1
TFC
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 4
LSK
6%
14%
80%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 0
NAR
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 4
LEV
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |