Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
15º
15º
9
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 62 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 57 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
35% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolos Kovalivka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
LNZ
32%
30%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
KOL
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
FCV
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
OBO
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
KOL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZOR
0 - 2
DYN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 2
ZOR
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RYV
3 - 0
ZOR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 4
ZOR
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 2
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |