Kolos Kovalivka vs Livyi Bereh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
27.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
15º
14º
6
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 58 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 57 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 44 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 43 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 40 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 31 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 27 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 30% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
35.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolos Kovalivka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
LNZ
32%
30%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
KOL
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
FCV
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
OBO
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
KOL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Livyi Bereh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
HKR
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
LIV
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |