Köln-Worringen vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln-Worringen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
KOW
3 - 2
WES
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
KOW
0 - 3
BFR
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
HUR
0 - 1
KOW
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
VIA
2 - 0
KOW
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SCB
7 - 0
KOW
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
VIA
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
HEW
2 - 2
ALT
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
WEG
2 - 1
ALT
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 3
GEW
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 3
H05
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |