Köln U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SGW
1 - 5
KOL
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 1
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ARM
1 - 2
KOL
18%
21%
62%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
RWA
0 - 3
KOL
10%
17%
73%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 2
BOC
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
DUI
4 - 1
RWA
46%
24%
31%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BOC
9 - 0
DUI
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ARM
2 - 4
DUI
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
DUI
0 - 11
LEV
10%
18%
72%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ESS
3 - 1
DUI
80%
13%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |