Köln U19 vs Hennef 05 Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
6º
5º
4
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 32 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 30 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 22 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 21 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 20 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 15 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 11 |
7º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 8 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 1
KOL
44%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
LEV
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
KOL
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
4 - 0
KAI
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DUI
4 - 1
KOL
35%
23%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hennef 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
ALA
18%
18%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WEH
2 - 3
HEN
82%
12%
7%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 0
HEN
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 7
MON
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | -1 |