Köln Sub 19 vs Arminia Bielefeld Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+150%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
8º
28
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
KOL
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
KOL
7%
12%
81%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 1
SCH
45%
23%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WUP
0 - 3
KOL
7%
14%
79%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 2
BOR
4%
10%
87%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 0
BOC
7%
15%
78%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 1
ARM
87%
10%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 4
MON
6%
13%
81%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
ARM
90%
8%
2%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |