Köln Sub 19 vs Arminia Bielefeld Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+158%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
KOL
4 - 0
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
DUI
2 - 2
KOL
12%
18%
69%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
KOL
2 - 0
SGW
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MON
0 - 2
KOL
26%
23%
52%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
KOL
5 - 0
RWA
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SGW
3 - 2
ARM
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ARM
1 - 2
ALA
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
ARM
53%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ARM
1 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
RWA
1 - 1
ARM
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |