Köln II vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 1
DIE
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
DIE
2 - 4
ARB
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
DIE
3 - 0
LUB
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
F95
0 - 2
DIE
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
DIE
5 - 3
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
WER
1 - 4
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 0
WER
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
WER
4 - 2
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KFC
2 - 1
WER
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WER
2 - 0
WOL
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |