Köln II vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
DIE
1 - 1
HOL
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
HAM
2 - 0
DIE
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
DIE
4 - 0
WUP
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SGD
3 - 0
DIE
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
DIE
4 - 0
STP
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
ROT
3 - 2
OSN
60%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
OSN
0 - 0
ARB
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
OSN
3 - 4
FCN
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
AAA
2 - 1
OSN
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
OSN
0 - 2
FCU
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |