Köln II vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
DIE
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 0
DIE
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 1
KOL
7%
16%
77%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 2
DIE
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DIE
4 - 0
H05
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
WIE
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 2
VER
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
KRA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
VER
1 - 4
WAT
7%
15%
77%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
VER
3 - 1
BOC
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |