Köln II vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
KÖL
5 - 0
DIE
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 1
S04
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
WAT
2 - 2
DIE
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 0
VEL
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
KFC
0 - 4
DIE
45%
23%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
LIP
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KÖL
4 - 1
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
S04
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
WAT
2 - 2
VER
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
VEL
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |