Köln II vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DIE
5 - 1
BER
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
KFC
2 - 2
DIE
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
BSC
0 - 2
DIE
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
DIE
2 - 1
BOR
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
0 - 5
DIE
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 2
STR
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VFB
5 - 1
SWE
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 1
DUS
60%
23%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 2
WUP
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 2
SWE
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |