Köln II vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2002 |
BOR
0 - 1
DIE
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
DIE
1 - 0
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
WUP
0 - 3
DIE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
DIE
3 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
DIE
2 - 0
WEG
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2002 |
SWE
2 - 1
HAM
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
FCB
1 - 1
SWE
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
SWE
1 - 0
GRA
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 2
SWE
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
AAA
2 - 1
SWE
60%
21%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |