Köln II vs Schalke 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
9º
9º
7
4º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
17 | 67 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 63 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 60 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 49 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 38 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 36 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 35 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 34 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 25 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIE
1 - 2
DIE
36%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 2
KÖL
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
DIE
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
5 - 0
PAD
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
DIE
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
S04
1 - 4
DUR
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
S04
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
S04
2 - 2
ROD
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
S04
2 - 1
KFC
66%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WIE
0 - 2
S04
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |