Köln II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
DIE
3 - 1
CHE
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
BOR
1 - 1
DIE
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
DIE
1 - 1
SGD
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
DIE
3 - 1
DRE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
BAB
4 - 2
DIE
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
WER
0 - 0
ROT
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 1
PAD
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
KFC
2 - 1
ROT
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
ROT
1 - 3
OSN
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 3
ROT
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |