Köln II vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 1
DIE
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 3
WIE
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
S04
0 - 0
DIE
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 3
DIE
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 1
KRA
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
MSV
0 - 3
VER
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
MSV
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MSV
2 - 0
ROT
20%
23%
58%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +4 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
MSV
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MSV
0 - 2
SPO
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |