Köln II vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
RHE
1 - 0
DIE
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
DIE
3 - 0
BSC
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
WEG
1 - 3
DIE
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
DIE
5 - 1
SWE
47%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
FCR
1 - 1
DIE
56%
24%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MSV
2 - 2
ADL
34%
26%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
MSV
3 - 1
VIK
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +5 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
RHE
3 - 1
MSV
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MSV
1 - 0
BSC
40%
26%
35%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
WEG
4 - 0
MSV
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |