Köln II vs KFC Uerdingen 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
9º
9º
9
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
17 | 67 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 63 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 60 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 49 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 38 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 36 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 35 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 34 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 25 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 5
FCB
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 0
DIE
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 2
SPV
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 0
S04
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIE
1 - 2
DIE
36%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DUR
5 - 3
KFC
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KFC
0 - 1
ROT
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 0
KFC
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 1
TDO
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 2
KFC
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |