Köln II vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 0
DIE
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 0
DIE
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DIE
2 - 0
WIE
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 0
DIE
37%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DIE
1 - 1
S04
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 1
BOR
17%
23%
60%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ELV
1 - 0
HOM
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
S04
1 - 0
HOM
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
HOM
2 - 1
FOR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
HOM
1 - 3
BAY
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |