Köln II vs Hertha BSC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
BAY
4 - 1
DIE
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
DIE
1 - 2
WUP
42%
25%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
ROT
2 - 2
DIE
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
DIE
0 - 4
HAN
20%
24%
57%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DIE
2 - 1
F95
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
HER
1 - 0
ROT
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 5
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
HER
2 - 3
OSN
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
HOL
2 - 0
HER
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HER
1 - 3
CZJ
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |