Köln II vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
DIE
5 - 0
KFC
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
STR
6 - 4
DIE
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
DIE
2 - 0
FCB
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
DIE
0 - 1
DUS
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 1
DIE
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
DUR
56%
23%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
WUP
3 - 0
DUR
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 1
KLE
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
ROT
2 - 1
DUR
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 0
VEL
18%
22%
61%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +3 |