Köln II vs Germania Ratingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 2
DIE
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
DIE
3 - 0
BFR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
DIE
1 - 0
RHE
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
VIK
0 - 4
DIE
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
DIE
1 - 1
ADL
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Ratingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 1
HAM
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 2
VIK
49%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
FCB
1 - 2
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 0
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 1
BSC
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |