Köln II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
LUB
5 - 0
DIE
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BOR
0 - 2
DIE
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
DIE
1 - 1
BIE
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
DIE
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
DIE
2 - 0
FCU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
F95
2 - 2
OSN
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
F95
0 - 2
HOL
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
F95
2 - 0
WUP
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
F95
0 - 0
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
KFC
1 - 1
F95
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |