Köln II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 1
ROT
27%
24%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
H05
1 - 0
DIE
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DIE
2 - 1
WAT
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
DIE
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 2
VER
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
KFC
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
ROT
3 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
H05
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 2
FOR
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPO
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |