Köln II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 2
DIE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DIE
4 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 2
DIE
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
IDA
1 - 1
DIE
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 0
WIE
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAI
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 3
BOR
19%
23%
59%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
EIN
23%
25%
53%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
S04
2 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |