Köln II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
VER
0 - 1
DIE
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DIE
0 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
KAI
2 - 0
DIE
33%
26%
40%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DIE
2 - 1
S04
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 3
DIE
36%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GEW
2 - 2
FOR
29%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
FOR
5 - 3
WHE
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ESS
3 - 3
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 0
SWE
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SOI
0 - 0
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |