Köln II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
DIE
2 - 0
WEG
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
DIE
4 - 0
HAM
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
1 - 2
DIE
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
DIE
2 - 2
GRA
76%
15%
8%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 2
DIE
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 0
BOR
30%
27%
43%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 2
BFR
39%
25%
35%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
HAM
0 - 1
FOR
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 4
MSV
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
4 - 2
FOR
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |