Köln II vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
MON
3 - 1
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
OFC
4 - 3
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
MON
1 - 1
F95
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
BVB
4 - 6
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
MON
4 - 2
KAI
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |