Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
USO
0 - 3
DIE
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BSC
2 - 0
DIE
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
DIE
2 - 2
DUR
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
DIE
5 - 0
KFC
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
STR
6 - 4
DIE
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BER
1 - 2
SPE
55%
23%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
BER
0 - 1
WUP
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
KLE
1 - 1
BER
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 1
BER
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
BER
2 - 1
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |