Köllerbach vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köllerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAA
1 - 1
KOL
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
KOL
0 - 4
HBI
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 3
WIR
15%
19%
67%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
PIR
2 - 1
KOL
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 1
EBK
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
HOM
0 - 1
IDA
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BNE
2 - 3
HOM
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 0
TUS
33%
28%
39%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
HOM
0 - 2
WWO
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
HAU
1 - 0
HOM
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |