Kolkheti Poti vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
8º
6º
38
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolkheti Poti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 0
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
NEF
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 1
KOL
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 1
KOL
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GAG
1 - 3
DBA
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
GAG
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LOK
7 - 2
GAG
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 9
GAG
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |