Kolkheti Khobi vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
10º
10º
29
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
42 | 66 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 62 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 62 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 47 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 39 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 26 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolkheti Khobi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADU
2 - 1
KOL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MET
4 - 2
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
SIO
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
KOL
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 4
DIN
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
MET
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 2
SFC
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
LOK
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
WIT
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |