Kolding IF vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
9º
4º
18
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 26 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
52.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolding IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 1
KOL
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 1
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 6
KOL
5%
12%
83%
|
69 | 27 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
FRE
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
HVI
46%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
ESB
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 8
ESB
2%
6%
92%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
ACH
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HOB
3 - 6
ESB
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |