Køge BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Køge BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
MID
2 - 1
KBK
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KBK
2 - 1
ACH
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SON
2 - 1
KBK
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
KBK
0 - 5
FCK
19%
25%
57%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BIF
1 - 1
KBK
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
AGF
2 - 1
LYN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCN
5 - 3
AGF
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
OBK
1 - 2
AGF
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |