Köflach vs Fehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
12º
9º
22
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köflach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 0
KOF
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 0
LEB
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SVT
0 - 2
KOF
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 0
TSH
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 2
KOF
63%
17%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LEB
2 - 3
FEH
43%
21%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
0 - 0
TSH
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 2
FEH
36%
21%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
3 - 2
KIN
81%
13%
7%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 4
FEH
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +2 |