Koeppchen vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ETZ
2 - 0
KOE
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KOE
2 - 1
JEU
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
KOE
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KOE
1 - 2
BET
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KOE
2 - 5
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 3
BER
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 1
LOR
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
MAM
1 - 1
LOR
37%
24%
40%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 1
YBW
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FFN
1 - 0
LOR
10%
14%
76%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -2 |