UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Kocaelispor vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
VEN
1 - 1
KOC
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
ADA
1 - 1
KOC
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
KOC
2 - 0
GEN
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
FEN
1 - 1
KOC
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
KOC
1 - 1
ERZ
73%
17%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
FKR
2 - 4
VEN
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
VEN
1 - 1
KOC
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
VEN
5 - 1
DRE
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
VIF
1 - 0
VEN
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1999 |
LIE
3 - 1
VEN
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |