Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
BUR
0 - 2
KOC
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
KOC
0 - 0
TRA
23%
29%
49%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
AYD
0 - 6
KOC
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
KOC
2 - 0
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
ANK
0 - 3
KOC
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
GAL
0 - 1
FEN
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1992 |
SIG
7 - 1
FEN
38%
23%
39%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
FEN
4 - 1
BUR
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1992 |
FEN
1 - 0
SIG
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1992 |
TRA
3 - 4
FEN
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |