Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
ALT
1 - 1
KOC
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
ZON
1 - 0
KOC
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
KOC
1 - 1
MAL
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1984 |
KOC
1 - 2
KAR
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
DEN
3 - 1
KOC
40%
31%
30%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
ANK
0 - 0
FEN
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
FEN
6 - 1
MAL
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
ANT
3 - 4
FEN
35%
31%
34%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1984 |
KAH
0 - 2
FEN
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
FEN
2 - 2
ORD
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |