Kocaelispor vs Erzincan Refahiyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
IST
1 - 0
KOC
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
KOC
0 - 1
MEN
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TUZ
4 - 2
KOC
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KOC
2 - 2
KIR
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
YEN
1 - 2
KOC
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Erzincan Refahiyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 2
DEN
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
ANA
2 - 1
ERZ
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 1
KAY
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AYV
2 - 1
ERZ
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 1
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |