Kocaelispor vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
KOC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
OYA
4 - 0
KOC
53%
24%
24%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
KOC
1 - 4
KEC
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
KOC
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
KOC
2 - 2
BEY
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AYV
0 - 0
DEN
37%
26%
36%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
AYV
2 - 6
MAN
58%
24%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
GOZ
3 - 1
AYV
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
AYV
1 - 0
AKB
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
BER
2 - 1
AYV
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |