Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 2-7
København XI vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
København XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1956 |
KOB
1 - 1
FCB
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 90 | 79 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
FCB
6 - 2
KOB
93%
5%
2%
|
11 | 89 | 78 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1958 |
CHL
4 - 1
NTT
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1958 |
WHU
4 - 2
CHL
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 2
CHL
51%
21%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1958 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
65%
18%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1958 |
CHL
6 - 5
NEW
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |