Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-9
København XI vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
71%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
København XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1962 |
KOB
2 - 3
HIB
27%
19%
54%
|
12 | 71 | 59 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
HIB
4 - 0
KOB
85%
9%
6%
|
12 | 70 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
DZG
2 - 2
KOB
82%
11%
8%
|
11 | 79 | 68 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1961 |
KOB
2 - 7
DZG
27%
21%
51%
|
11 | 79 | 68 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1958 |
CHL
4 - 1
KOB
89%
7%
4%
|
11 | 80 | 69 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
FUL
1 - 4
ARS
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1963 |
ARS
3 - 0
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
ARS
4 - 3
BOL
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
WBA
4 - 0
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |