Knockbreda vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
POR
4 - 0
KNO
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 1
KNO
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
KNO
2 - 5
BAL
13%
18%
70%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 0
KNO
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
KNO
2 - 6
HAR
37%
23%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAL
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 1
KNO
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
4 - 2
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
HAR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
QUB
0 - 1
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |