Knockbreda vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 0
KNO
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
KNO
0 - 5
BAL
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
PSN
0 - 1
KNO
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
KNO
3 - 0
DER
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
KNO
2 - 0
ARD
34%
24%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 0
LCE
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 5
PSN
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 2
LCE
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LCE
1 - 1
BAN
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
CRU
5 - 0
LCE
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |