Kiyovu Sport vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
5º
2º
32
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kiyovu Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KIY
3 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
RWA
1 - 2
KIY
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 0
KIY
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
KIY
2 - 3
APR
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
GFC
0 - 0
KIY
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BUG
3 - 0
RFC
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BUG
1 - 1
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
BUG
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 0
GFC
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BUG
1 - 1
SUN
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |