Kiwi FC vs Pago Youth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kiwi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
4 - 1
KIW
50%
21%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
TEF
7 - 0
KIW
73%
15%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +17 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
KIW
3 - 4
NAD
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
KIW
0 - 2
MAG
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
KIW
0 - 8
SOL
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Pago Youth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 5
LOT
89%
8%
4%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 5
TUP
39%
20%
41%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +14 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 13
SOA
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -3 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VEI
1 - 1
PAG
11%
16%
74%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
UTU
0 - 2
PAG
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |